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Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Fun with Probability and Statistics!

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: a Red Sox consultant, a professor of mathematics at Boston College and the associate dean for academic affairs at San Diego State sit down to calculate the probability of hitting four consecutive home runs in the majors.

First they start with the ratio p=the total number of home runs hit in the majors, divided by the number of plate appearances. You then multiply p to the fourth power, because it’s four consecutive home runs, see. And then what you do is…you know what? You finish it, I’m going to get a beer.


Via Boston Sports Media Watch.


Read more!

2 comments:

notthequarterback said...

My fellow nerds and i will retire to the nerdery with our calculators. we should have something...by the end of the day.

MCBias said...

Yes, to the nerdery! Notthequarterback, get them to order more pocket protectors this time. I've ruined my best shirt already this week with leaking ink. You remember, that beige shirt with only one or two small mustard stains? Sigh.

And I disagree with their technique completely. Taking a Frequentist approach in what is obviously a Bayesian setting? Piffle!